Edit wiki/ultimate-predictor.md — ideas

---
first_captured: 2026-01-24
sources:
- sources/ideaflow/2026-01-24_train-an-alg-to-predict-how-long-until.md
- sources/google-sheets-ideas.md
status: raw
tags:
- sports
- ml
- software
title: ultimate point predictor
type: idea
updated: 2026-04-10
visibility: public-edit
---

# ultimate point predictor

train an algorithm to predict how long until an ultimate frisbee point ends, or classify states: playing, about to score, point over (not playing). a fun sports ML application.

**spreadsheet evaluation:** originality 8/10, excitement 3/10, MVP 4-8 weeks. competitive landscape: sports analytics ML exists for basketball (Second Spectrum), soccer — ultimate frisbee analytics is extremely underdeveloped (Ultiworld does basic stats). novel sport + novel application. needs labeled training data (game footage with timestamps), could use AUDL or Ultiworld tournament footage. computer vision for player tracking + disc tracking is the hard part. tech depth 5/10, labeled [ARCHIVE] ("fun but niche and small").

---

## timeline

- [2026-01-24] captured — ultimate frisbee point prediction
- [2026-04-10] google sheets evaluation — 8/10 originality, 3/10 excitement, [ARCHIVE] tier